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🛠 Free interactive tool

Crash Strategy Tester

Simulate 10,000 Aviator/Crash rounds with custom auto-cashout. See win rate, balance curve, longest losing streak.

Tool
Crash Strategy Tester Free · browser-only · no signup

Crash Strategy Tester

Simulate up to 50,000 rounds of Aviator/Crash with your auto-cashout multiplier and bet size. Built on the industry-standard 1% house-edge crash distribution: P(crash ≥ X) = 0.99 / X. Results show real distribution outcomes, not theoretical EV — losing streaks and bankroll busts are real.

Results

Run the simulation to see outcome distribution, balance curve, and longest losing streak.

How it works

  • Crash distribution: Each round, the crash point X is drawn from the standard provably-fair crash formula X = 0.99 / (1 - r) where r ∈ [0, 1) is uniform random — equivalent to a 1% house edge.
  • Round outcome: If your auto-cashout ≤ X, you win bet × (cashout − 1). Otherwise you lose your bet.
  • Bankruptcy: The simulation stops if your balance falls below your bet size.
  • Why this matters: Even with positive expected value, variance can bust your bankroll. The longest losing streak metric tells you how much rope you need to survive a bad run.

Strategy notes

A 2× auto-cashout gives roughly 49% win rate (50% × 0.99 house edge). Lower multipliers (1.2×–1.5×) win more often but contribute less per win. Higher multipliers (5×+) lose 80%+ of rounds and need very large bankrolls to weather variance. No multiplier beats the house edge over enough rounds — but auto-cashout discipline beats greed-based manual play every time.

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